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Why are top universities losing their lead? An economics modelling-based approach

Lookup NU author(s): Dr Peter Andras, Dr Bruce Charlton


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Scientific output of lower-ranked institutions is catching up with leading universities. We present a simple, conceptual model of research production describing the dynamic interaction between inputs (research staff and funding) and outputs (publications and citations). Results support an 'emergent' phase of science with elite leading universities, evolving to a 'mature' phase of consolidation, standardization, and catch-up of follower universities. Productivity differences between senior and junior researchers and the 'start-up' costs of research equipment may explain this, together with advances in information technology. Improved detection and support of emergent sciences may be achieved by specialized data analysis and directed research funding. © Beech Tree Publishing 2009.

Publication metadata

Author(s): Andras P, Charlton B

Publication type: Article

Publication status: Published

Journal: Science and Public Policy

Year: 2009

Volume: 36

Issue: 4

Pages: 317-330

ISSN (print): 0302-3427

ISSN (electronic): 1471-5430

Publisher: Beech Tree Publishing


DOI: 10.3152/030234209X436563


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