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Lookup NU author(s): Dr Peter Edward
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The data available for assessing the current status and trends of global poverty has significantly improved. And yet serious contentions remain. At the same time, a set of recent papers has sought to use these datasets to make poverty projections. Such projections have significant policy implications because they are used to inform debates on the future scale, nature, and objectives of international aid. Unfortunately, those papers have not yielded a consistent picture of future (and even current) global poverty even though their estimates are all derived from the same basic (PPP and distribution) datasets. In this paper we introduce a new model of growth, inequality and poverty. This new model allows for systematic, methodologically transparent, comparative analyses of estimates of poverty in the future based on a range of different methods. We use the model to explore how estimates of the scale and location of future poverty varies by approach.
Author(s): Edward P, Sumner A
Publication type: Working Paper
Publication status: Published
Journal: Center for Global Development Working Papers
Type of Article: Working Paper
Year: 2013
Pages: 42 pp.
Publisher: Center for Global Development
: Washington, DC
URL: http://international.cgdev.org/publication/future-global-poverty-multi-speed-world-new-estimates-scale-and-location-2010%E2%80%932030
Notes: Working Paper 327
