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Estimating the Scale and Geography of Global Poverty Now and in the Future: How Much Difference Do Method and Assumptions Make?

Lookup NU author(s): Dr Peter Edward


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Estimates of the historic and future scale and location or "geography" of global poverty by income/expenditure have a long and contentious history. In recent projections made on global poverty, methods and assumptions vary so widely it is impossible to compare studies in a systematic way even on their estimates of current poverty. In light of this, we discuss the methodological issues arising and use a custom-built model to provide a new, consistent set of long-run estimates of global poverty to show the impact of different methods and assumptions on the scale and location of global poverty. (C) 2013 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

Publication metadata

Author(s): Edward P, Sumner A

Publication type: Article

Publication status: Published

Journal: World Development

Year: 2014

Volume: 58

Pages: 67-82

Print publication date: 01/06/2014

Online publication date: 10/02/2014

Acceptance date: 21/12/2013

ISSN (print): 0305-750X

ISSN (electronic): 1873-5991

Publisher: Pergamon Press


DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2013.12.009


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