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Assessing the need for infrastructure adaptation by simulating impacts of extreme weather events on urban transport infrastructure

Lookup NU author(s): Dr Alistair FordORCiD, Dr Maria Pregnolato, Professor Stuart Barr, Professor Richard DawsonORCiD


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Cities face risks from climate change, placing increased pressure on infrastructure extremes. A methodology to assess the impacts of extreme weather events on urban networks has been developed, using a catastrophe modelling approach to risk assessment by overlaying spatial data, applying hazard thresholds, and testing potential adaptations. Utilising future climate projections, downscaled usingstochastic weather generators, future urban temperature and flooding extremes are simulated. These are coupled with spatial urban transport network models and, applying thresholds, disruption to the networks can be simulated. Results for heat and surface water flooding events, and the impacts on the travelling public, are demonstrated.

Publication metadata

Author(s): Ford A, Pregnolato M, Jenkins K, Barr S, Dawson R

Editor(s): Malleson, N

Publication type: Conference Proceedings (inc. Abstract)

Publication status: Published

Conference Name: GISRUK 2015

Year of Conference: 2015

Print publication date: 15/04/2015

Online publication date: 17/04/2015

Acceptance date: 29/01/2015