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Communicating the risk of injury in schoolboy rugby: Using Poisson probability as an alternative presentation of the epidemiology

Lookup NU author(s): Professor Allyson PollockORCiD, Graham Kirkwood


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Background: The communication of injury risk in rugby and other sports is underdeveloped and parents, children and coaches need to be better informed about risk. Method: A Poisson distribution was used to transform population based incidence of injury into average probabilities of injury to individual players. Results: The incidence of injury in schoolboy rugby matches range from 7 to 129.8 injuries per 1000 playerhours;these rates translate to average probabilities of injury to a player of between 12% and 90% over a season. Conclusion: Incidence of injury and average probabilities of injury over a season should be published together in all future epidemiological studies on school rugby and other sports. More research is required on informing and communicating injury risks to parents, staff and children and how it affects monitoring, decision making and prevention strategies.

Publication metadata

Author(s): Parekh N, Hodges SD, Pollock AM, Kirkwood G

Publication type: Article

Publication status: Published

Journal: British Journal of Sports Medicine

Year: 2012

Volume: 46

Issue: 8

Pages: 611-613

Print publication date: 01/06/2012

Online publication date: 28/09/2011

ISSN (print): 0306-3674

ISSN (electronic): 1473-0480

Publisher: BMJ Group


DOI: 10.1136/bjsports-2011-090431

PubMed id: 21957194


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