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Adaptation investments for transport resilience: Trends and recommendations

Lookup NU author(s): Dr Maria Pregnolato

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This is the final published version of an article that has been published in its final definitive form by WIT Press, 2018.

For re-use rights please refer to the publisher's terms and conditions.


Abstract

© 2018 wit Press. Climate change, extreme weather and flooding threaten to increase damage and disruption to our transport networks and the services that they provide. There is increased need for adaptation to maintain current asset conditions and services, and a strategic requirement to prioritise such investments in adaptation to reduce future risks. Physical network risks will not be evenly distributed across nations (e.g. due to geographical and climate change patterns), and some regions will require more investment and adaptive interventions than others to maintain services due their vulnerability to natural hazards. Comparatively, the distribution of investment for transport infrastructure does not have a uniform spatial distribution, and can favour schemes that reduce congestion on networks with high demand without considering the actual risk of being impacted. These two issues, if unchallenged, will present an unfavourable future for areas with high network risks and low transport demand that will widen spatial inequality or resilience, mobility and potential for economic growth. This study advances a methodological framework to analyse the spatial distribution of flood risk on UK road and rail networks in the light of potential bias of regional investment. Using GIS mapping, network data and risk analysis, regional futures are categorised and discussed. There is a clear North/South divide in transport networks at risk from potential coastal and fluvial flooding, with southern regions having 10-30% of their network situated in known flood risk areas. Investment in transport infrastructure is also disproportionately favoured towards regions with high transport demand, and peripheral regional such as Wales and the South West are at risk from increase disparity from high flood risk networks and a low potential for investment. The study provides preliminary evidence for the need to consider assessment approaches for long-term investment in resilience, drawing recommendations for future research.


Publication metadata

Author(s): Pregnolato M, Dawson DA

Publication type: Article

Publication status: Published

Journal: International Journal of Safety and Security Engineering

Year: 2018

Volume: 8

Issue: 4

Pages: 515-527

Online publication date: 30/09/2018

Acceptance date: 02/04/2018

ISSN (print): 2041-9031

ISSN (electronic): 2041-904X

Publisher: WIT Press

URL: https://doi.org/10.2495/SAFE-V8-N4-515-527

DOI: 10.2495/SAFE-V8-N4-515-527


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