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Lookup NU author(s): Emily Hill, Professor Rachel Carr
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (CC BY 4.0).
Dynamic ice discharge from outlet glaciers across the Greenland Ice Sheet has increased since the beginning of the 21st century. Calving from floating ice tongues that buttress these outlets can accelerate ice flow and discharge of grounded ice. However, little is known about the dynamic impact of ice tongue loss in Greenland compared to ice shelf collapse in Antarctica. The rapidly flowing (~1000 m a-1) Petermann Glacier in northwest Greenland has one of the ice sheet's last remaining ice tongues, but it lost ~50%–60% (~40km in length) of this tongue via two large calving events in 2010 and 2012. The glacier showed a limited velocity response to these calving events, but it is unclear how sensitive it is to future ice tongue loss. Here, we use an ice flow model (Úa) to assess the instantaneous velocity response of Petermann Glacier to past and future calving events. Our results confirm that the glacier was dynamically insensitive to large calving events in 2010 and 2012 (<10% annual acceleration). We then simulate the future loss of similarly sized sections to the 2012 calving event (~8km long) of the ice tongue back to the grounding line. We conclude that thin, soft sections of the ice tongue >12km away from the grounding line provide little frontal buttressing, and removing them is unlikely to significantly increase ice velocity or discharge. However, once calving removes ice within 12km of the grounding line, loss of these thicker and stiffer sections of ice tongue could perturb stresses at the grounding line enough to substantially increase inland flow speeds (~900 m a-1), grounded ice discharge, and Petermann Glacier's contribution to global sea level rise.
Author(s): Hill EA, Gudmundsson GH, Carr JR, Stokes CR
Publication type: Article
Publication status: Published
Journal: The Cryosphere
Year: 2018
Volume: 12
Issue: 12
Pages: 3907-3921
Online publication date: 18/12/2018
Acceptance date: 27/11/2018
Date deposited: 19/12/2018
ISSN (print): 1994-0416
ISSN (electronic): 1994-0424
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
URL: https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-2018-162
DOI: 10.5194/tc-12-3907-2018
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