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Twenty-first century response of Petermann Glacier, northwest Greenland to ice shelf loss

Lookup NU author(s): Emily Hill

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This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (CC BY 4.0).


Abstract

Copyright © The Author(s), 2020. Published by Cambridge University Press. Ice shelves restrain flow from the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets. Climate-ocean warming could force thinning or collapse of floating ice shelves and subsequently accelerate flow, increase ice discharge and raise global mean sea levels. Petermann Glacier (PG), northwest Greenland, recently lost large sections of its ice shelf, but its response to total ice shelf loss in the future remains uncertain. Here, we use the ice flow model Úa to assess the sensitivity of PG to changes in ice shelf extent, and to estimate the resultant loss of grounded ice and contribution to sea level rise. Our results have shown that under several scenarios of ice shelf thinning and retreat, removal of the shelf will not contribute substantially to global mean sea level (<1 mm). We hypothesize that grounded ice loss was limited by the stabilization of the grounding line at a topographic high ∼12 km inland of its current grounding line position. Further inland, the likelihood of a narrow fjord that slopes seawards suggests that PG is likely to remain insensitive to terminus changes in the near future.


Publication metadata

Author(s): Hill EA, Gudmundsson GH, Carr JR, Stokes CR, King HM

Publication type: Article

Publication status: Published

Journal: Journal of Glaciology

Year: 2021

Volume: 67

Issue: 261

Pages: 147-157

Print publication date: 01/02/2021

Online publication date: 02/12/2020

Acceptance date: 14/10/2020

Date deposited: 07/01/2021

ISSN (print): 0022-1430

ISSN (electronic): 1727-5652

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

URL: https://doi.org/10.1017/jog.2020.97

DOI: 10.1017/jog.2020.97


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