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Global food security in the context of COVID-19: A scenario-based exploratory analysis

Lookup NU author(s): Professor Andy Large



This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (CC BY 4.0).


© 2020 The Authors. This study highlights the major players in the global food balance, potential implications of COVID-19 on global food supply, and SDG-2 (zero hunger). It found that developing countries, fifteen from Africa followed by ten from Latin America, six from Oceania, and four from Asia, are the most vulnerable to changes cereal supply shocks. It concludes that the current pandemic is likely to cause transitory food insecurity across such vulnerable countries. The effects of the pandemic on food security (SDG-2) may persist longer as a combined effect of economic slowdown and increase in poverty, limiting food supply and access beyond 2020.

Publication metadata

Author(s): Udmale P, Pal I, Szabo S, Pramanik M, Large A

Publication type: Article

Publication status: Published

Journal: Progress in Disaster Science

Year: 2020

Volume: 7

Print publication date: 01/10/2020

Online publication date: 22/07/2020

Acceptance date: 16/07/2020

Date deposited: 26/07/2021

ISSN (electronic): 2590-0617

Publisher: Elsevier Ltd


DOI: 10.1016/j.pdisas.2020.100120


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Funder referenceFunder name
NE/S008926/1Natural Environment Research Council (NERC)