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Neurofilament light levels predict clinical progression and death in multiple system atrophy

Lookup NU author(s): Professor David Burn, Professor Nicola PaveseORCiD

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This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (CC BY 4.0).


Abstract

© The Author(s) 2022. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the Guarantors of Brain. Disease-modifying treatments are currently being trialled in multiple system atrophy. Approaches based solely on clinical measures are challenged by heterogeneity of phenotype and pathogenic complexity. Neurofilament light chain protein has been explored as a reliable biomarker in several neurodegenerative disorders but data on multiple system atrophy have been limited. Therefore, neurofilament light chain is not yet routinely used as an outcome measure in multiple system atrophy. We aimed to comprehensively investigate the role and dynamics of neurofilament light chain in multiple system atrophy combined with cross-sectional and longitudinal clinical and imaging scales and for subject trial selection. In this cohort study, we recruited cross-sectional and longitudinal cases in a multicentre European set-up. Plasma and CSF neurofilament light chain concentrations were measured at baseline from 212 multiple system atrophy cases, annually for a mean period of 2 years in 44 multiple system atrophy patients in conjunction with clinical, neuropsychological and MRI brain assessments. Baseline neurofilament light chain characteristics were compared between groups. Cox regression was used to assess survival; receiver operating characteristic analysis to assess the ability of neurofilament light chain to distinguish between multiple system atrophy patients and healthy controls. Multivariate linear mixed-effects models were used to analyse longitudinal neurofilament light chain changes and correlated with clinical and imaging parameters. Polynomial models were used to determine the differential trajectories of neurofilament light chain in multiple system atrophy. We estimated sample sizes for trials aiming to decrease neurofilament light chain levels. We show that in multiple system atrophy, baseline plasma neurofilament light chain levels were better predictors of clinical progression, survival and degree of brain atrophy than the neurofilament light chain rate of change. Comparative analysis of multiple system atrophy progression over the course of disease, using plasma neurofilament light chain and clinical rating scales, indicated that neurofilament light chain levels rise as the motor symptoms progress, followed by deceleration in advanced stages. Sample size prediction suggested that significantly lower trial participant numbers would be needed to demonstrate treatment effects when incorporating plasma neurofilament light chain values into multiple system atrophy clinical trials in comparison to clinical measures alone. In conclusion, neurofilament light chain correlates with clinical disease severity, progression and prognosis in multiple system atrophy. Combined with clinical and imaging analysis, neurofilament light chain can inform patient stratification and serve as a reliable biomarker of treatment response in future multiple system atrophy trials of putative disease-modifying agents.


Publication metadata

Author(s): Chelban V, Nikram E, Perez-Soriano A, Wilke C, Foubert-Samier A, Vijiaratnam N, Guo T, Jabbari E, Olufodun S, Gonzalez M, Senkevich K, Laurens B, Peran P, Rascol O, Le Traon AP, Todd EG, Costantini AA, Alikhwan S, Tariq A, Ng BL, Munoz E, Painous C, Compta Y, Junque C, Segura B, Zhelcheska K, Wellington H, Schols L, Jaunmuktane Z, Kobylecki C, Church A, Hu MTM, Rowe JB, Leigh PN, Massey L, Burn DJ, Pavese N, Foltynie T, Pchelina S, Wood N, Heslegrave AJ, Zetterberg H, Bocchetta M, Rohrer JD, Marti MJ, Synofzik M, Morris HR, Meissner WG, Houlden H

Publication type: Article

Publication status: Published

Journal: Brain

Year: 2022

Volume: 145

Issue: 12

Pages: 4398-4408

Print publication date: 01/12/2022

Online publication date: 29/07/2022

Acceptance date: 17/06/2022

Date deposited: 12/01/2023

ISSN (print): 0006-8950

ISSN (electronic): 1460-2156

Publisher: Oxford University Press

URL: https://doi.org/10.1093/brain/awac253

DOI: 10.1093/brain/awac253

PubMed id: 35903017


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Funding

Funder referenceFunder name
779257European Commission
AOI 2011-BIOAMS
API 2012-BIOPARK
G0802760
G1001253
MR/J004758/1
Multiple System Atrophy Coalition
MSA Trust
WT093205MA
WT104033/Z/14/Z

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