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Is BCG associated with reduced incidence of COVID-19? A meta-regression of global data from 160 countries

Lookup NU author(s): Melvin JoyORCiD

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This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License (CC BY-NC-ND).


Abstract

© 2020 INDIACLEN. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).Background: Global research is running towards to find a vaccine to stop the threat of the COVID-19. The Bacillus Calmette–Guérin (BCG) vaccine that prevents severe forms of tuberculosis is getting more attention in this scenario. The objective of our study was to determine the association between BCG vaccine coverage and incidence of COVID-19 at a national-level across the Globe. Methods: The data of 160 countries were included in the study. Meta-regression was done to estimate the difference in the incidence of COVID-19 cases between countries with BCG vaccination coverage. BCG coverage was categorized as ≤70%, >70% and no vaccination. The analyses were carried out by adjusting for factors such as population density, income group, latitude, and percentage of the total population under age groups 15–64 and above 65 years of each country. Results: The countries that had ≤70% coverage of BCG vaccine reported 6.5 (95% CI: −8.4 to −4.5) less COVID-19 infections per 10,000 population as compared to countries that reported no coverage. Those that had >70% coverage reported 10.1 (95% CI: −11.4 to −8.7) less infections per 10,000 population compared to those with no BCG countries. Conclusion: Our analysis suggests that BCG is associated with reduced COVID-19 infections if the BCG vaccine coverage is over 70%. The region-wise analyses also suggested similar findings, except the Middle East and North African region.


Publication metadata

Author(s): Joy M, Malavika B, Asirvatham ES, Sudarsanam TD, Jeyaseelan L

Publication type: Article

Publication status: Published

Journal: Clinical Epidemiology and Global Health

Year: 2021

Volume: 9

Pages: 202-203

Print publication date: 01/01/2021

Online publication date: 10/09/2020

Acceptance date: 21/08/2020

Date deposited: 10/08/2023

ISSN (print): 2452-0918

ISSN (electronic): 2213-3984

Publisher: Elsevier B.V.

URL: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cegh.2020.08.015

DOI: 10.1016/j.cegh.2020.08.015


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