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Lookup NU author(s): Dr Yi Zhou, Dr Kayvan Pazouki, Dr Alan J Murphy
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (CC BY 4.0).
Fuel Oil Consumption (FOC) accounts for a significant proportion of a vessel's operating costs. The cost of fuel for a fishing vessel operation may often go up to 50% or more. Accurate forecasting FOC in voyage planning stage is essential for route optimization decision support system with the objective of fuel-saving, which is difficult because the future state of the vessel and its power and machinery systems for fuel modelling are not available during route planning stage. Moreover, the state of the environment conditions and its impact on vessel performance should be considered. In this paper, machine learning approaches were applied to predict FOC from plannable in-situ variables and modelled speed through water. The latter is estimated from speed over ground and environmental variables in this work, whose prediction is also critical for decision support systems to avoid collisions. By applying the proposed methodology, the final selected Random Forest models can achieve high mean accuracies (over 92%) in predicting fuel consumption on unseen future data.
Author(s): Zhou Y, Pazouki K, Murphy AJ, Uriondo Z, Granado I, Quincoces I, Fernandes-Salvador JA
Publication type: Article
Publication status: Published
Journal: Ocean Engineering
Year: 2023
Volume: 285
Issue: 2
Print publication date: 01/10/2023
Online publication date: 01/08/2023
Acceptance date: 29/07/2023
Date deposited: 01/08/2023
ISSN (print): 0029-8018
ISSN (electronic): 1873-5258
Publisher: Elsevier
URL: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oceaneng.2023.115509
DOI: 10.1016/j.oceaneng.2023.115509
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