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GC Insights: Open-access R code for translating the co-occurrence of natural hazards into impact on joint financial risk

Lookup NU author(s): Dr Hannah BloomfieldORCiD

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Licence

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (CC BY 4.0).


Abstract

Hydro-meteorological hazard is often estimated by academic and public sector researchers using publicly funded climate models, whilst the ensuing risk quantification uses proprietary insurance sector models, which can inhibit the effective translation of risk-related environmental science into modified practice or policy. For co-occurring hazards, this work proposes as an interim solution an open-access R code that deploys a metric (i.e. inter-hazard correlation coefficient, r) obtainable from scientific research that is usable in practice without restricted data (climate or risk) being exposed. This tool is evaluated for a worked example that estimates the impact on joint financial risk at an annual 1-in-200-year level of wet and windy weather in the UK co-occurring rather than being independent, but the approach can be applied to other multi-hazards in various sectors (e.g. road, rail and telecommunications) now or in future climates.


Publication metadata

Author(s): Hillier J, Champion A, Perkins T, Garry F, Bloomfield HC

Publication type: Article

Publication status: Published

Journal: Geoscience Communication

Year: 2024

Volume: 7

Pages: 195-200

Online publication date: 30/08/2024

Acceptance date: 31/07/2024

Date deposited: 29/10/2024

ISSN (print): 2569-7439

ISSN (electronic): 2569-7110

Publisher: European Geophyiscal Union

URL: https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-7-195-2024

DOI: 10.5194/gc-7-195-2024

Data Access Statement: The R code used is openly available and is in the Supplement to this article along with guidance and a worked example with idealised data. Data from the proprietary insurance sector models used are not available.


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Funding

Funder referenceFunder name
NE/V017756/1
NE/V018698/1
NE/R014361/1
NERC

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