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Signaling and perceiving on equity crowdfunding decisions — a machine learning approach

Lookup NU author(s): Dr Doris Xin, Dr Jose LiuORCiD

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This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (CC BY 4.0).


Abstract

This study explores how signaling and perceiving jointly influence crowd investors' decision-making. We utilize five machine learning models to assess the predictive power of various information types on crowdfunding success. Our findings indicate that investors prioritize well-structured quantitative data over complex qualitative content. Processing quantitative information is also found to be less cognitively taxing than extracting useful information from qualitative text and images. Entrepreneurs' signaling and investors' processing jointly reduce information asymmetry in crowdfunding, highlighting the critical yet often-overlooked role of investors' information processing. Additionally, we test the policy effect of the '2016 Interim Measures on Online Lending' on crowdfunding success by comparing the predictive accuracy of information during the thriving and constraining periods of crowdfunding development in China. Our results have significant implications for policymakers that crowdfunding fosters economic growth by connecting entrepreneurs and investors and should not be halted due to risks, especially during periods of financial constraints.


Publication metadata

Author(s): Yang J, Xin J, Zeng Y, Liu P

Publication type: Article

Publication status: Published

Journal: Small Business Economics

Year: 2025

Pages: epub ahead of print

Online publication date: 18/01/2025

Acceptance date: 04/12/2024

Date deposited: 04/12/2024

ISSN (print): 0921-898X

ISSN (electronic): 1573-0913

Publisher: Springer New York LLC

URL: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11187-024-00991-3

DOI: 10.1007/s11187-024-00991-3

Data Access Statement: Data available on request from the authors.


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