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Detecting Advanced Persistent Threat Exfiltration with Ensemble Deep Learning Tree Models and Novel Detection Metrics

Lookup NU author(s): Dr Mujeeb AhmedORCiD

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This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (CC BY 4.0).


Abstract

Advanced Persistent Threats (APTs) involve attackers maintaining a long-term presence on victim systems, leading to the stealthy exfiltration of sensitive data during network transfers. Despite existing methods to detect and halt APT data exfiltration, these attacks continue to pose significant threats to sensitive information and result in substantial commercial losses. Current approaches primarily focus on preemptive measures, which are insufficient once early-stage detection fails due to a lack of continuous monitoring. We propose an effective and efficient network monitoring method to address this gap and detect APT exfiltration during data transfer. Our approach assumes the presence of an undetected APT attacker within the victim system. We examine data exfiltration across three exfiltration traffic environments: exfiltration over command control channels, exfiltration over transfer size limitations, and their combinations. We introduce two detection metrics: Package Transfer Rate and Byte Transfer Rate. Utilizing these metrics, we measure network traffic, categorize APT attack environments, and train deep neural network models, named EDXGB, using ensembled decision trees to predict APT exfiltration. Our method is validated on two public datasets and compared against six baseline methods. Additionally, we simulate real-world exfiltration scenarios by creating three exfiltration traffic environments for each dataset. The results demonstrate that our method effectively detects APT exfiltration across various network environments, enhancing data protection and secure transfer.


Publication metadata

Author(s): Cai X, Zhang H, Ahmed CM, Koide H

Publication type: Article

Publication status: Published

Journal: IEEE Access

Year: 2025

Volume: 13

Pages: 81803-81822

Online publication date: 07/05/2025

Acceptance date: 03/05/2025

Date deposited: 20/05/2025

ISSN (electronic): 2169-3536

Publisher: IEEE

URL: https://doi.org/10.1109/ACCESS.2025.3567772

DOI: 10.1109/ACCESS.2025.3567772


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Funding

Funder referenceFunder name
Japan Society for the Promotion of Science (JSPS) KAKENHI, Grant 21K11888
Hitachi Systems, Ltd

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