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Battle of Water Demand Forecasting

Lookup NU author(s): Dr Manuel HerreraORCiD

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This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (CC BY 4.0).


Abstract

As part of the Battle of Water Networks competition series, the Battle of Water Demand Forecasting (BWDF) was organized in the context of the 3rd Water Distribution Systems Analysis and Computing and Control in the Water Industry (WDSA-CCWI) joint conference held in Ferrara (Italy) in 2024. In line with the previous editions of the Battle of Water Networks—the main objective of which was to address a specific problem related to the design and operation of water distribution networks—the BWDF aims to compare the effectiveness of methods for the short-term forecast of urban water demand in a set of real district metered areas. During the conference, 31 teams across the world participated in the BWDF and presented their approaches. The results obtained demonstrate the importance of (1) considering integrated approaches for short-term water demand forecasting; and (2) evaluating their performance in relation to more than one metric, case study, and period.


Publication metadata

Author(s): Alvisi S, Franchini M, Marsili V, Mazzoni F, Salomons E, Housh M, Abokifa A, Arsova K, Ayyash F, Bae H, Barreira R, Basto L, Bayer S, Berglund EZ, Biondi D, Boloukasli Ahmadgourabi F, Brentan B, Caetano J, Campos F, Cao H, Cardona S, Carreno Alvarado EP, Carrico N, Chatzistefanou GA, Coy Y, Creaco E, Cuomo S, de Klerk A, Di Nardo A, DiCarlo M, Dittmer U, Dziedzic R, Ebrahim Bakhshipour A, Eliades D, Farmani R, Ferreira B, Gabriele A, Gamboa-Medina MM, Gao F, Gao J, Gargano R, Geranmehr M, Giudicianni C, Glynis K, Gomez S, Gonzalez L, Gross M, Guo H, Habibi MN, Haghighi A, Hammer B, Hans L, Hayslep M, He Y, Hermes L, Herrera M, Hinder F, Hou B, Iglesias-Rey A, Iglesias-Rey PL, Jang IS, Izquierdo J, Jahangir MS, Jara-Arriagada C, Jenks B, Johnen G, Kalami Heris M, Kalumba M, Kang MS, Khashei Varnamkhasti M, Kim KJ, Kley-Holsteg J, Ko T, Koochali A, Kossieris P, Koundouri P, Kuhnert C, Kulaczkowski A, Lee J, Li K, Li Y, Liu H, Liu Y, Lopez-Hojas CA, Maier A, Makropoulos C, Martinez-Solano FJ, Marzouny NH, Menapace A, Michalopoulos C, Moraitis G, Mousa H, Namdari H, Nikolopoulos D, Oberascher M, Ostfeld A, Pagano M, Pasha F, Perafan J, Perelman G, Pesantez J, Polycarpou M, Quarta MG, Que Q, Quilty J, Quintiliani C, Ramachandran A, Reynoso Meza G, Rodriguez V, Romano Y, Saldarriaga J, Salem AK, Samartzis P, Santonastaso GF, Savic D, Schiano Di Cola V, Schol D, Seyoum AG, Shen R, Simukonda K, Sinske A, Sitzenfrei R, Sonnenschein B, Stoianov I, Tabares A, Todini E, Tsiami L, Tsoukalas I, Ulusoy AJ, Vamvakeridou-Lyroudia L, van Heerden A, Vaquet J, Vaquet V, Wallner S, Walraad M, Wang D, Wu S, Wu W, Wunsch A, Yao Y, Yu J, Zanfei A, Zanutto D, Zhang H, Ziebarth M, Ziel F, Zou J

Publication type: Article

Publication status: Published

Journal: Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management

Year: 2025

Volume: 151

Issue: 10

Print publication date: 01/10/2025

Online publication date: 18/07/2025

Acceptance date: 01/04/2025

Date deposited: 18/07/2025

ISSN (print): 0733-9496

ISSN (electronic): 1943-5452

Publisher: ASCE

URL: https://doi.org/10.1061/JWRMD5.WRENG-6887

DOI: 10.1061/JWRMD5.WRENG-6887

Data Access Statement: All data, models, and code generated or used during the study appear in the published article. Specifically, observed and forecasted water demand data are available in the Supplemental Materials, along with weather and calendar data. Details on the forecast models used are available in the individual contributions gathered in a special volume dedicated to the conference (Alvisi et al. 2024) or by request from each participating team.


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