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Counterfactual Causal Inference of Biomedical Signals: Unveiling Causal EEG Patterns for ASD Evaluation

Lookup NU author(s): Professor Raj Ranjan

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This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (CC BY 4.0).


Abstract

© 2020 IEEE.The examination of complex diseases has greatly benefited from machine-learning techniques for interpreting biomedical signals. However, for diseases with multifactorial etiologies, such as Autism Spectrum Disorders (ASD), the inability of associative methods to distinguish between causal relationships and mere correlations often leads to unreliable outcomes. In contrast, causal models require well-defined causal structures, demanding a thorough understanding of their contributing factors. This study proposes a Generative Adversarial Network framework for Counterfactual Causal Inference (C2I-GAN) to uncover causal patterns from biomedical signals without a predefined causal structure. The framework leverages graph attention network to identify key features for directing counterfactual generation, applies generative adversarial learning to produce task-oriented counterfactuals, and supports inference by evaluating how modifications to specific features affect diagnostic outcomes. A case study of ASD evaluation is conducted on a resting-state EEG dataset (74 ASD and 143 TD children) using C2I-GAN against state-of-the-art methods (Associative: GAT; Counterfactual: CounteRGAN, Omnixai, and CXGAN). The findings show that C2I-GAN identified T3, T4, O1, and O2 channels as causal patterns while recognizing C3 and C4 as merely associative, aligning with the latest neuroscience evidence where counterpart methods failed. In terms of performance, the model improved actionability by 30% and accuracy by 10% compared to other counterfactual methods, and increased accuracy by 5% while reducing training loss by 20% against associative method, demonstrating enhanced precision and efficiency.


Publication metadata

Author(s): Wang Y, Zuo Y, Chen D, Zomaya AY, Ranjan R, Chen J, Gao T

Publication type: Article

Publication status: Published

Journal: IEEE Transactions on Artificial Intelligence

Year: 2025

Pages: Epub ahead of print

Online publication date: 17/09/2025

Acceptance date: 02/04/2018

Date deposited: 07/10/2025

ISSN (electronic): 2691-4581

Publisher: IEEE

URL: https://doi.org/10.1109/TAI.2025.3610394

DOI: 10.1109/TAI.2025.3610394


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Funding

Funder referenceFunder name
China Postdoctoral Science Foundation (Nos. 2025M771649)
National Natural Science Foundation of China (Nos.62477035, 62172304, 62377018)
STI2030-Major Projects+2021ZD0204300

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