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Do New Light Rail Stations Enhance Property Values in Mature Cities? Evidence from UK Cities

Lookup NU author(s): Ziye Lan, Dr Alistair FordORCiD, Professor Roberto PalacinORCiD

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This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (CC BY 4.0).


Abstract

© 2025 by the authors. With the growing focus on sustainable development, light rail transit (LRT) systems are increasingly viewed as key drivers of low-carbon mobility and spatial equity. However, as urban spatial structures become more stable, it remains unclear whether LRT systems can still enhance quality of life, property values and contribute to inclusive urban regeneration. This study explores Manchester, Sheffield, and Nottingham, three UK cities with recent LRT development experience, as case studies. Using LRT constructed or expanded between 1995 and 2019 as a quasi-natural experiment, a difference-in-differences (DID) model is applied to estimate the causal impact of LRT expansion on property prices. The results indicate that LRT construction can lead to a 4.44% to 8.29% increase in nearby property values, with a lagged effect observed after implementation. The impact is more pronounced in areas with well-developed bus networks and in lower-income areas. Further mechanism analysis suggests that the effect is indirectly driven by improved accessibility and enhanced convenience of access to local amenities.


Publication metadata

Author(s): Lan Z, Ford A, Palacin R

Publication type: Article

Publication status: Published

Journal: Sustainability

Year: 2025

Volume: 17

Issue: 23

Online publication date: 23/11/2025

Acceptance date: 13/11/2025

Date deposited: 22/12/2025

ISSN (electronic): 2071-1050

Publisher: MDPI

URL: https://doi.org/10.3390/su172310505

DOI: 10.3390/su172310505

Data Access Statement: Public data used in this study (PPD, Census, OSM) are openly available from the original sources. Ordnance Survey POI data presented in this study are available on request from the corresponding author due to copyright and licensing restrictions.


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