Toggle Main Menu Toggle Search

Open Access padlockePrints

Fluoride and Neurodevelopmental Hazard Modelling: An Assessment of Concentration-Response Analysis

Lookup NU author(s): Emeritus Professor Andrew Rugg-Gunn

Downloads


Licence

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (CC BY 4.0).


Abstract

© 2025 The Author(s). Community Dentistry and Oral Epidemiology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.Objectives: A National Academies Consensus Study report concluded that the evidence did not support an assessment that fluoride is a neurodevelopmental hazard. However, some researchers have undertaken benchmark dose modelling to determine a safe fluoride concentration level in water. Therefore, the suitability of the data for modelling fluoride concentration in urine and water and cognition response using standard criteria was assessed. Methods: Data quality was evaluated using a standard tool. A random-effects meta-analysis of standardised mean difference (SMD) and regression coefficients was conducted to assess effect sizes and heterogeneity. The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) benchmark dose modelling was utilised to determine the association between fluoride concentrations and cognition scores. Results: All four maternal urinary fluoride (MUF) studies did not meet the standards for acceptable quality, as identified by the EPA data quality criteria, which are necessary for combining data from different studies for dose–response analysis. The pooled estimate was not statistically significant (βMUF = −1.06, 95% CI: −3.63, 1.50; p = 0.42; I2 = 62%). A meta-analysis of five studies conducted in fluoridated areas showed a pooled SMD effect size of 0.04 (95% CI: −0.06, 0.14; p = 0.42; I2 = 0%), favoring higher fluoride. The benchmark dose models did not reveal a functional relationship between MUF or water fluoride concentration and cognitive outcomes (Goodness-of-fit p < 0.1). Conclusions: The data quality assessment revealed serious flaws that render the maternal urinary studies unacceptable for hazard assessment and benchmark dose modelling. Therefore, more appropriate studies in endemic fluorosis areas are needed to accurately determine whether fluoride is associated with adverse cognitive outcomes in populations with meaningful exposure.


Publication metadata

Author(s): Kumar JV, Moss ME, Liu H, Fisher-Owens S, Rugg-Gunn A, Kuring J

Publication type: Article

Publication status: Published

Journal: Community Dentistry and Oral Epidemiology

Year: 2025

Pages: epub ahead of print

Online publication date: 31/10/2025

Acceptance date: 17/09/2025

Date deposited: 11/11/2025

ISSN (print): 0301-5661

ISSN (electronic): 1600-0528

Publisher: John Wiley and Sons Inc

URL: https://doi.org/10.1111/cdoe.70027

DOI: 10.1111/cdoe.70027

Data Access Statement: The data underlying this article are available in the article and in its online Supporting Information.


Altmetrics

Altmetrics provided by Altmetric


Share