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Radiative Forcing of Western Tibetan Vortex on Surface Air Temperature in Spring

Lookup NU author(s): Professor Hayley Fowler

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This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License (CC BY-NC 4.0).


Abstract

© 2026 The Author(s).As the dominant atmospheric circulation pattern over the western Tibetan Plateau (TP), the Western Tibetan Vortex (WTV) exerts substantial control on springtime 2 m surface air temperature (T2m). However, its underlying radiative processes remain unclear. This study integrates GEWEX satellite observations with ERA5 and MERRA-2 reanalysis, applying surface energy balance diagnostics to quantify the WTV's radiative forcing on T2m variability. We find the WTV explains ∼66% of T2m variance (R = 0.81) across the western TP and the adjacent Southwest Asia. Downward shortwave radiation (DSW) emerges as the primarily radiative factor modulated by the WTV via cloud radiative forcing (CRF) processes. Specifically, anticyclonic WTV events reduce cloudiness, generating positive CRF anomalies that enhancing surface DSW and cause warming. Conversely, cyclonic events increase cloudiness, producing negative CRF anomalies that diminish DSW and induce cooling. These findings advance understanding of the radiative processes by which the upper circulations modulate the surface climate over the TP.


Publication metadata

Author(s): Wang J, Li X-F, Wang J, Yang S, Fowler HJ

Publication type: Letter

Publication status: Published

Journal: Geophysical Research Letters

Year: 2026

Volume: 53

Issue: 3

Print publication date: 16/02/2026

Online publication date: 06/02/2026

Acceptance date: 28/01/2026

ISSN (print): 0094-8276

ISSN (electronic): 1944-8007

Publisher: John Wiley and Sons Inc

URL: https://doi.org/10.1029/2025GL119603

DOI: 10.1029/2025GL119603

Data Access Statement: The monthly ERA5 data sets that support the findings of this study are publicly available via Hersbach et al. (2023a, 2023b) at https://cds.climate.copernicus.eu/datasets?q=monthly&limit=30 and the MERRA-2 monthly reanalysis data set that support the findings of this study are publicly available via Gelaro et al. (2017) at https://disc.gsfc.nasa.gov/datasets?project=MERRA-2. The GEWEX-SRB monthly satellite data data set was obtained from the NASA Langley Research Center Atmospheric Sciences Data Center NASA/GEWEX SRB Project (NASA/LARC/SD/ASDC, 2021a, 2021b) at https://asdc.larc.nasa.gov/project/SRB?level=4.


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